Russia Summer Offensive Continues; Oreshnik Warning Active; Yaroslavl Drone Strike on Fuel Storage
Russian forces continued overnight long-range strikes against Ukraine through Wednesday morning. The Institute for the Study of War maintains that Vladimir Putin’s decree expanding the Russian armed forces will not affect the battlefield situation. The CIA Saturday-night Oreshnik intermediate-range ballistic missile warning remains in active operational effect through the G7 closing window. Ukrainian drones continue hitting fuel-storage facilities in Russia’s Yaroslavl region. Russia has not formally responded to President Volodymyr Zelensky’s proposal to meet Vladimir Putin in the United States; Putin rejected the prior Zelensky meeting offer in early June.
The Russian summer-offensive long-range strike volume has continued through the G7 communique window. The ISW assessment that the Putin army-expansion decree will not affect the battlefield is the structural assessment that Russia’s force-generation constraint is operational, not nominal. The Yaroslavl drone strike on fuel-storage facilities is the Ukrainian operational response continuing the deep-strike campaign that has compounded through May and June. The G7 Ukraine military-aid package addresses the structural Patriot inventory gap that has limited Ukraine’s air-defence response to overnight Russian strikes.