Trump Says US-Iran Deal Signed Sunday; Tehran Disputes Timeline; Six Arab States Align on Framework
US President Donald Trump said overnight Saturday-into-Sunday that the US-Iran peace deal will be signed Sunday 14 June, reopening the Strait of Hormuz immediately and pledging that “Iran no longer want a nuclear weapon”. An Iranian foreign ministry official sought to temper expectations, saying there were no plans for a Sunday signing and an agreement could be inked in the coming days. Saudi Arabia, Qatar, UAE, Lebanon, Bahrain and Kuwait have aligned on the framework. Industry sources put the deal at 80-85% probability. The Sunday Asia open is the binding pivot for Monday London.
The Trump “signed Sunday” framing is the most specific timeline since the Wednesday Trump-Netanyahu phone call. Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s Saturday “24 hours” framing is the structural mediator-side commitment. The Iranian pushback is partly procedural — readying Khamenei’s funeral — and partly substantive: Tehran wants the deal text to explicitly close off the missile-capability question and provide bankable sanctions relief through SWIFT reintegration. The Saudi-led six-state alignment on the framework is the regional-architecture commitment that makes the deal materially different from the 2015 JCPOA framework. The 80-85% probability framing is what industry sources are telling oil markets ahead of Monday London open.